Andy Holding’s Ebor Saturday Racing Tips

KIEFER (best cost 7-1) has consistently had the look of a horse for whom this race would match and having had pretty much his year aimed around arriving here in peak shape, Eve Johnson Houghton’s gelding appears primed for a big work.
Promising within his first three trips in maidens, Pour Moi’s boy has come into his own that he didn’t waste any time using an mark of 75 in Newbury back in May and upped in trip and after handicapped. Although conquered as, his effort when runner-up at the Bibury Cup at Salisbury came courtesy of a large speed figure and he also shaped well last time out at Ascot despite earth not being perfect. The kind who should have the ability to really express himself today galloping circuit, the fast ground available should match and with a few companies offering rather four place terms, the likeable grey makes lots of each-way appeal.
Double the total amount of prize money on the desk in comparison to last year implies only getting a run from the Ebor was a feat in itself, and that’s proven with a 105-rated bottom weight. Due to the compact nature of the weights, it appears a pointless exercise mulling across the pounds and ounces and it’s much better to stick with the tried and trusted formula of going with something with proven course form — that applies to most races in York. Bearing that in mind, among the critical trials for your 1 million-pound occasion comes courtesy of this Group 3 competition run across the C&D on John Smith’s Cup afternoon a month ago, with several of the key players who afternoon set to do battle again. Won by Red Galileo, Ed Dunlop’s gelding fended off the likes of Raheen House, Weekender and Kelly’s Dino (won because ) at a crazy finish and with time figure going towards the kind of the race being particularly reliable, it wouldn’t come as too much of a surprise if one of the quartet had been to triumph back to the scene of that epic encounter.
Of the safest option, possibly, would be RAHEEN HOUSE (best cost 7-1) as his numbers not simply stack up well from this competition, but also from his prior performance within the exact same C&D a month earlier. Although no game for Gold Mount that day, it wasn’t a bad attempt off the rear of a 231-day fracture and in finding the necessary improvement the following day, the son of Sea The Stars was able to run to a much higher level in what was to be a very strongly-run affair. Held way up off the speed, he stayed on top of all that performance further added to the theory that he simply adores the character of this trail and to go down narrowly in a end that was driving. Getting switched from Brian Meehan to William Haggas’ powerful lawn, it seems connections have been dead-set on landing this significant trophy for quite a while and making sure no stone is left unturned in the accumulation to the occasion, he must arrive on the Knavesmire at fever-pitch. Only from this money double in a 17-race profession, the five-year-old also has convenient course stats which examine 123 and also form on various conditions and endurance and class in equal steps, it is difficult to find him not having any kind of state in the last outcome.
Pretty Pollyanna brings genuine Group 1 type to the dining table and she’s likely to be a warm order under the adjustments, but at the exact same time, she’s fairly got out of the habit of winning and also at her skimpy morning price, she’s passed over in favour of very good EFFORT (best cost 22-1) at a great deal more attractive opportunities. Campaigned largely over 7f/1m, the gelding of Ismail Mohamed had lost his way until a sudden change of heart resulted on today ‘s time out. Always travelling easily off the back of strong fractions, the boy of Shamardal found clever turn of foot to brush a useful field and although the current contest is a far cry from the shallower waters he struck that day, he’s just the kind who may excel at a larger and better environment.
Considering DANGEROUS ENDS’s (best cost 10-1) run-style, he was always unlikely to be suited by the sharp mile at Lingfield last time out, but now back above a C&D that has functioned well previously, Brett Johnson’s inmate prices a viable proposition.
Well behind the five-year-old had very little probability of collecting, but he left a fist of the situation to operate on strong to finish a third and now that signals he stays in good shape. A victory followed by a spot below a punishment were his 2 offerings when hurrying over today’s C&D and with all the helpful William carver in the plate to lessen the pain of weight, the Monsieur Bond gelding should outrun his morning odds.
RISE HALL (best price 8-1) has not got a lot of miles around the clock and with a chance he still may be advancing, Martyn Meade’s gelding can go close to providing his canny handler his second champion of the meeting. Third at a Exotic handicap over the C&D of today when lurks in excursion for the first time last season, the four-year-old hasn’t done too much wrong since and his victory at Newmarket last time outside capped off a run efforts that were solid in acceptable handicaps. Despite racing using the choke out throughout the early part of the contest a month past, the boy of Frankel nevertheless had enough in reserve to watch off a small, but select field, and having thrived on the two times he’s struck a major area and a strong pace, Rise Hall must turn out to be in his element under ideal conditions.
Whatever happens today, Richard Hannon has already enjoyed a excellent week, but there’s a better than outside chance that WEDDING DATE (best cost 16-1) can provide the East Everleigh maestro with the perfect finish to this assembly.
Therefore it best to focus on the advantages at her finest when requested to finish over five-furlongs, it’s no surprise that her two worst performances lately have come within an extra furlong. Seen to good effect once the pace collapsed over today’s C&D back in May, the daughter of Dandy Man once more did some really great late job on her latest outing at Ascot, coming from virtually last to sneak third against some classy and well-established older sprint handicappers. Back among her age class this afternoon, expect before coming with her typical late thumping her to be outpaced in conducting to pull off such an effort, and although she will need some luck her morning cost suggest she worth the danger.
Small Nugget sets the typical courtesy of her fine effort in a decent newcomer competition at the Galway Festival, but she might have more on her plate in relation to the marketplace signals upward against the improving CAER (NAP) (best price 5-2).
A cozy winner of a blackout in Roscommon back in July, Winged Love’s girl was in the practice of running a major race when capsizing four out of home, but she didn’t need to wait too long for damages. Dusting down herself, she certainly suffered no ill consequences by bolting up that she left the strongly-fancied Bronagh’s Belle look pedestrian it testimony. Probably to be ridden fairly handily — that isn’t a terrible strategy around this trail that is sharp — Noel Meade’s charge can provide the favourite.
The secret to the outcome of the race could lie inside the similar heat run at Doncaster last week and also of those that were included in that competition on Town Moor, VERDIGRIS (best price 20-1) makes the maximum allure at the dawn chances. Held up towards the rear in the first phases, Ruth Carr’s filly was just beginning to creep well into the contest when she fulfilled all sorts of trouble in running and although it’s always difficult to come to an exact decision where she might have finished, there is every chance she would have made the framework at the very least given how well she had been going at the moment. Prior to this effort, the girl of Intense Focus had conducted respectably against that backed up a few strong performances including a success back in May and the useful Warning Fire on the course of today. Than her estimates suggest flexible regards back and trip to a more favourable surface, the four-year-old has more in her favor.

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